Unedited mind dump
It’s mid-April and violence is picking up in United States. As I predicted many times long back. Often I wrote these things right here on Patreon, or said during interviews. Of course I cannot tell the future, but I have spent enough time in and studying wars that my estimations are far more likely to become true than not.
Who else, anywhere, predicted far in advance that April 2021 would likely see significant change in the character of unrest? I don’t know of anyone.
Keep track of my words. Hold me accountable. I am very careful before saying or writing something I must live with.
My sense at this time is that we will see a dramatic increase in unrest during 2021, and more so in 2022.
It’s not about sparks. It’s about conditions. I just drove thousands of miles across America sensing conditions. Those who have followed my work in Iraq, Afghanistan, Thailand, Hong Kong, and more, know to listen.
Now is time to repeat something. I am penalized for delivering bad news. When I first wrote in 2006 that the Afghan war was going backwards, support donations fell through the floor. And notice that I actually predicted that would happen in 2006. There is a tendency to support good news and penalize bad news. I want to write that things are looking up internally for United States. But that would be a lie.
Go back and spend an hour looking what the pack was writing about Afghanistan. The pack was writing about how great the Afghan war was going. I was the Lone Ranger. But it was clear. I was there. And I know what to look for. Being there is not enough. You must know what you are feeling for. Same in Iraq. All my dispatches are still online.
Diagnosing cancer is unpleasant. Especially so when I am diagnosing my own country and family.
On an international front, the United States is making a tremendous mistake by not recognizing that Japan is by far our most important international partner. Alleged insults by our leadership to Japan must be clarified, and if any offense was given, a quick and sincere effort to amend any cuts. This matter is of utmost importance.
The wellbeing of the entire world rests heavily on the stability of United States, and our relations with the world. Especially so with Japan. Very few “analysts” seem to understand this.
Just back from an Embera village and am at a bigger Embera village that has a single, very slow wifi by the church at the municipal center. Been hot work out there and we drank a ton of coconuts. Fresh coconuts off the tree instantly rejuvenating. Far better than water or anything you will find in a store.
If we are in luck, electricity and water will be on in Sambu and we will get a shower. Diane and Francisco are treating patients and I came to SITREP you.
Thank you for all support. I am sorry to deliver bad estimations. Sorry for my country, the world, and for my accounts. But it is what it is.