Yet sometimes unlocking the actionable intelligence, confidential info, off a target’s smartphone is less tech-centered and more brute force. Yon gave this example:
Imagine a Mexican journalist with confidential informants. She gets picked up along with her smartphone, and the cartel (or whoever) beats the password out of her. Now they’ve got the keys to the kingdom without infiltrating a phone company. A common criminal can do this.
Yon may start to report from a new war zone at the Mexican border which he believes is a a greater threat to the USA than al Qaeda. If he does, drug cartels may consider him a threat and try to target him via smartphone pocket spy actionable intelligence.
You wrote, “The United States faces greater threats at home than we face in Afghanistan. The Mexican border, for instance, is being described as a war zone. People have been warning about it for years. Over time, I have seriously considered changing focus to the more proximate and bigger threats.”
How/why do you regard it as a bigger threat?
Michael Yon: Afghanistan per se poses no threat to the United States. Zero. We attacked Afghanistan because al Qaeda was there, and as follow-on we went for the Taliban. Other threats exists in the region, but if we were to attack every place that has housed even al Qaeda, we would go for the UAE, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Germany, Florida. . . long list. We are nation-building in Afghanistan. Yes, there are al Qaeda affiliates in some places but there are AQ and other terrorists in many countries. We saw OBL was living in Pakistan.
If our quest is only to hunt al Qaeda, Afghanistan is just one of many places they have kicked up. If we abandon Afghanistan, my guess is that it will devolve into civil war. The Taliban and others will inherit significant areas, but that is of little consequence to us directly. The bigger concern of course is Pakistan.
Mexico is far more important due to proximity. If Mexico were in Southeast Asia, it would be of no more concern than is Vietnam. There was a time when many Americans believed that a failure in Vietnam would domino to the demise of the United States. Vietnam is now a great place to vacation where Americans are welcome.
I am next door to Vietnam in communist Laos. I can see the Mekong River flowing by Vientiane. Communist flags are hanging everywhere. I am in the Sabai Dee coffee shop on the Rue Francious Ngin and they are playing American music. My iPhone picks up the WiFi. Vietnam became communist, so did Laos, and the world kept turning. I recommend Laos and Vietnam as travel destinations. The dominos fell and it hardly mattered.
Mexico is different. Due to proximity, our histories, cultures and futures are deeply entwined. We are in this together. We can walk away from Afghanistan as we did Vietnam and Laos, but not Mexico. If we walk away from Afghanistan, Afghanistan will suffer and no telling what will happen with Pakistan. The more we try to ignore the problems in Mexico, the more we all will suffer.
You are considering to move from covering our troops in Afghanistan to covering the Mexico border ‘war zone.’
Do you agree with the comment posted that “If you start telling the truth about that situation, the Cartels will perceive you as a threat and move against you. The Mexican government will perceive you as a threat and move against you. The US government will perceive you as a threat and move against you.”
Michael Yon: Billions of dollars are flowing about. Writing is dangerous business. Some have argued that in many places writing is far more dangerous than soldiering. This was almost certainly true for Iraqi journalists, and might be true for Afghans and Mexicans, or anyone else who enters the bloody fight armed with a pen.
In one comment it was implied that the cartels know who and where certain people are. Do you believe the cartel are using smartphones to track persons of interest/enemies? If so, do you have any verification of that?
Michael Yon: It’s best to assume that rich and powerful cartel leaders will have taken pains to infiltrate phone companies. If I were a billionaire drug dealer, I might try to buy a phone company, but in any case would certainly invest in tracking gear for which a section would be devoted to tracking enemy phones. I’m not saying this is occurring. I have no knowledge of this. I am only saying that it makes sense. A powerful enemy would try to infiltrate or hack into all organizations wherein huge and useful data mines are available. Phone companies would be prime targets for human infiltration and computer hacking.
Do you believe any of the biometrics at the border, facial recognition, fingerprinting, has done anything helpful to stop the flood of trouble at our nation’s border with Mexico?
Michael Yon: I do not know. Biometrics were helpful in Iraq and are increasingly working in Afghanistan. One day in Iraq, a bunch of men were applying to become police. One applicant was wanted and when he was entered into the system, it flagged within seconds. Our Soldiers quietly took him to a different room where he was peacefully detained.